Onyx Research

Our team of skilled analysts, by utilising the depth and breadth of Onyx's proprietary data, position ourselves at the cutting edge of market analysis. This unique vantage point grants us an unparalleled perspective in the market, enabling us to identify emerging trends and lucrative opportunities.

Overnight & Singapore Window: Brent Bounces Back to $67.80/bbl

The Aug’25 Brent futures contract initially rallied to $68.28/bbl at 07/55 BST before falling to $67.39/bbl at 10:15 BST. Prices have since recovered to $67.80/bbl at 11:30 BST (time of writing). In the news, Shell clarified it has not made a bid for BP and is not considering such a move, denying a Wall Street Journal report suggesting acquisition talks were underway. In a formal statement, Shell said no discussions had taken place and it is now bound by UK takeover rules which bar it from making a new offer for BP for six months, unless invited by BP or prompted by another bid. In other news, India’s refinery throughput rose 0.4% y/y in May to 5.47 mb/d, driven by the highest fuel demand in over a year and record-high crude imports, provisional data from the oil ministry showed. Refiners processed 5.25 mb/d in April. Russian oil’s share in imports slipped as Indian refiners cut May purchases by 15.7% to 1.7 mb/d. One notable disruption was MRPL’s shutdown of a 144 kb/d unit mid-May. Equinor and its partners, Vaar Energi and Inpex Idemitsu, will invest over $2.08 B to develop the Fram South oil and gas field in the North Sea. Production is expected to begin by the end of 2029, with exports routed through the existing Troll C platform. Equinor holds a 45% stake, Vaar Energi 40%, and Inpex Idemitsu Norge 15%. Equinor highlighted the project’s role in enhancing Europe’s energy security. Finally, the front-month Aug/Sep spread us at $0.89/bbl and the 6-month Aug/Feb’26 spread is at $3.05/bbl.

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Our team of skilled analysts, by utilising the depth and breadth of Onyx's proprietary data, position ourselves at the cutting edge of market analysis. This unique vantage point grants us an unparalleled perspective in the market, enabling us to identify emerging trends and lucrative opportunities.