Reports

Industry-leading market insights. Get daily, weekly and monthly reports from Onyx Research, featuring expert analysis and interactive graphs. ​
European Window cover

European Window: Brent Under $70.00/bbl

Sep’25 Brent futures were under pressure this afternoon from $71.35/bbl at 13:30 BST to $69.55/bbl at 17:25 BST (time of writing). Although Trump warned of possible 100% secondary tariffs on Russia if a ceasefire isn’t achieved within 50 days, the

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Brent Forecast: 14th July 2025

The Sep’25 Brent crude futures climbed higher last week, closing above $70/bbl and opening higher on Monday morning, reaching $71/bbl. Prices are at their highest level since the late June sell-off. We expect prices to remain elevated this week, with

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Onyx Alpha report cover

Onyx Alpha: Flipping Flows

Another week brings another selection of new trade ideas from Onyx Research. This week, we look at trades in Crude and Fuel Oil swaps. Our weekly Onyx Alpha report presents speculative and hedging trades based on technical analysis and data-driven

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European Window cover

European Window: Brent Rallies to $70.41/bbl

The Sep’25 Brent futures contact continued rallying in the afternoon to $70.41/bbl at 17:15 BST (time of writing). In the news, Russia plans to fully compensate for overproducing oil beyond its OPEC+ quota in August and September, in line with

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European Window cover

European Window: Brent Drops Under $69/bbl

The Sep’25 Brent futures contract fell from $69.80/bbl at 12:25 BST to $68.60/bbl at 16:55 BST, increasing slightly to $68.95/bbl at 17:10 BST (time of writing). Reuters reported that the European Commission plans to propose a floating Russian oil price

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Trader Meeting Notes

Trader Meeting Notes: Hot Spread Summer

Summer is in full swing, but crude’s upswing has begun to melt. Sep’25 Brent rose to see the blue skies above $70.00/bbl before softening to lie above the 100-day average sub-$69.00/bbl. OPEC has been a bit gloomier, lowering its global

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Gasoline report

Gasoline Report: East/West hits the brakes

CFTC data for the week to 01 Jul showed money managers deepening their bearish stance on RBOB futures: longs fell 3.0mb (-5.4%) while shorts rose 3.9mb (+12%), marking the fifth drop in longs in six weeks. Overall open interest declined

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Overnight & Singapore Window: Brent Below $70/bbl

The Sep’25 Brent Futures contract fell to $69.82/bbl at 09:41 BST before bouncing back to $70.07/bbl. Prices have softened to $69.92/bbl at 11:10 BST (time of writing). In the news, OPEC has revised its global oil demand forecasts for the

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CFTC Weekly cover

CFTC Predictor: Building Length

In addition to our regular Monday CFTC COT analysis report, Onyx Insight will publish its own in-house CFTC COT forecast ahead of the official Friday report. The model forecasts changes in long and short positions using machine learning, utilising Onyx’s

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European Window cover

European Window: Brent Softens to $70.42/bbl

The Sep’25 Brent futures contract fell to $69.65/bbl at 14:32 BST. Prices have since rallied up to $70.43/bbl at 16:52 BST and softened slightly to $70.42/bbl at 17:25 BST (time of writing). In the news, US crude oil stockpiles unexpectedly

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Overnight & Singapore Window: Brent Above $70/bbl

The Sep’25 Brent futures contract rallied to $70.71/bbl at 09:41 BST before softening a touch to $70.37/bbl at 11:45 BST. In the news, the UAE’s Energy Minister, Suhail al-Mazrouei, stated that oil markets are absorbing OPEC+’s production increases without a

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Dated Brent report cover

Dated Brent Report – Rolling Down

The geopolitical risk premium may have faded, but the continued rally in Brent structure highlights the market’s resilience. Futures spreads have been on a steady upward trend since the beginning of May, with Sep/Oct Brent strongly backwardated above $1/bbl (time

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