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Overnight & Singapore Window: Brent Falls to $63.87/bbl

Brent slid to $63.69/bbl before recovering to $63.87. OPEC+ may raise output in July. Dangote eyes exports. Jul/Aug at $0.49, Jul/Jan at $1.16.

The Jul’25 Brent futures contract fell from $65.03/bbl to $63.69/bbl at 08:14 BST. Prices slightly recovered to $63.87/bbl at 11:25 BST (time of writing). In the news, OPEC+ is discussing a potential oil production increase of 411kb/d for July, Bloomberg reported, citing delegates. No final decision has been made ahead of the June 1 meeting. Reuters previously reported that the group could restore up to 2.2mb/d by November, possibly starting with a larger hike in July. In other news, Dangote Petroleum Refinery announced a partnership with global distributor Vinmar Group to export its polypropylene products. The $2B petrochemical plant in Lagos, which began local production in March, has a capacity of 830k mt. Nigeria currently imports 90% of its 250k mt/year polypropylene needs. The facility aims to meet local demand and position Nigeria as a net exporter. British gas producer Energean narrowed its 2025 output forecast and is actively pursuing M&A opportunities after scrapping a planned asset sale to Carlyle. Energean now expects production of 155kb/d–165kb/d, down from previous guidance of 160,000kb/d–175,000kb/d. CEO Mathios Rigas said the company is evaluating both acquisitions and organic growth across Europe, the Middle East, and Africa, with a focus on capital discipline. Finally, the front-month Jul/Aug spread is at $0.49/bbl and the 6-month Jul/Jan’26 spread is at $1.16/bbl.

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Our team of skilled analysts, by utilising the depth and breadth of Onyx's proprietary data, position ourselves at the cutting edge of market analysis. This unique vantage point grants us an unparalleled perspective in the market, enabling us to identify emerging trends and lucrative opportunities.