Overnight & Singapore Window: Brent Falls to $68.02/bbl - Flux News
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Overnight & Singapore Window: Brent Falls to $68.02/bbl

Brent Oct’25 fell to $68.02/bbl; Aramco profit -22% to $22.7bn. Russia diesel exports drop; ADES buys Shelf Drilling; spreads at $0.66/$1.86.

The Oct’25 Brent Futures contract initially rallied to $68.79/bbl at 08:23 BST before falling to $68.02/bbl at 11:00 BST (time of writing). In the news, Saudi Aramco reported a 22% drop in Q2  profit to $22.7 Bn amid falling crude prices and rising debt, prompting cost cuts and potential asset sales to raise capital. Aramco’s realized crude price averaged $66.7/bbl, down from $85.70/bbl a year ago, putting pressure on Saudi finances, which require oil above $90.00/bbl to balance the 2025 budget. The kingdom is now expected to run a budget deficit of around 5% of GDP, more than double prior forecasts. In other news, Russia’s seaborne diesel and gasoil exports declined 5% in July to 3.26 mmt due to refinery maintenance and higher domestic demand, LSEG data shows. Shipments via Primorsk fell 11.3% from June to 1.26 mt. Turkey and Brazil remained top buyers, though exports to Turkey dropped 14% to 1.25 mt and to Brazil fell 29% to 0.37 mt. Deliveries to African nations, including Morocco, Senegal, Ghana, and Libya, decreased by about 25% to 0.69 mt. Over 400 kt of diesel are also undergoing ship-to-ship transfers near Cyprus, with final destinations yet unconfirmed. Saudi Arabian oil drilling firm ADES International Holding has agreed to acquire Oslo-listed Shelf Drilling for 3.9 Bn  Norwegian crowns ($379 million) in cash. The deal values Shelf Drilling at 14 crowns per share and has been recommended by Shelf’s board. The combined company will operate 83 offshore jack-up drilling rigs, strengthening ADES’s position in shallow-water offshore drilling. Finally, the front-month Oct/Nov spread is at $0.66/bbl and the 6-month Oct/Apr spread is at $1.86/bbl.

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Our team of skilled analysts, by utilising the depth and breadth of Flux's proprietary data, position ourselves at the cutting edge of market analysis. This unique vantage point grants us an unparalleled perspective in the market, enabling us to identify emerging trends and lucrative opportunities.

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