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The Officials: Dozy Dubai

05 June 2025: 09:30 BST

Brent was on a sideways run though today’s Asian session, before climbing again to above $65, though it slipped to the close at $64.93/bbl. The futures structure is creaking under the pressure of headline extra supply and lukewarm demand prospects. The reality is far more complex but few understand that any headline about OPEC supply increase is fake. We mentioned yesterday that the Dec/Jan spread had returned to backwardation but it keeps flitting back and forth with contango, while the front spread is being ground down towards 60c, having started the month near 80c.

In ‘The Officials’, Onyx Capital Advisory publishes outright values, spreads, cracks and boxes for the main energy commodities traded in the marketplace. The published values are determined independently and on a fair market basis by our team of dedicated professionals.
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