13 June 2025: 09:30 BST
The drums of war are rolling across the Middle East again. Israel bombed Iran. The signs were there to see, from the pull out of American personnel from the embassy in Iraq to persistent buying of high strike call options and rising flat price ahead of the actual strikes. But some of us felt reason would prevail – big error in thinking – that nothing of significance would happen on the TACO Thursday night Washington/Friday the 13th in other areas of the world. Iran is a big place and it would take a massive effort to move the needle, so we felt the action would not happen because any pinprick would be futile.
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