Onyx Research

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European Window: Brent Softens Sub-$66.00/bbl

The Jul'25 Brent futures contract climbed from $65.80/bbl at circa 12:20 BST to $66.50/bbl at 14:55 BST, where it met resistance...

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The Jul’25 Brent futures contract climbed from $65.80/bbl at circa 12:20 BST to $66.50/bbl at 14:55 BST, where it met resistance. Price action attempted to breach this level thrice this afternoon but failed to breach past it, softening to $65.90/bbl at 16:35 BST. Finally, at the time of writing (17:45 BST), the futures contract stands at $66.28/bbl. US crude oil inventories increased by 3.45mb w/w in the week ending 9 May to 441.8mb (15.19mb lower y/y). The EIA also reported a muted 0.19mb build in US gasoline inventories to 225.7mb (-2.27mb y/y) and a 3.16mb decline in distillate fuel oil inventories to 103.6mb (-12.81mb y/y). In other news, a senior executive at Equinor reportedly told Reuters that Europe may need to keep offering attractive price levels to secure an additional 30 billion cubic metres (bcm) of LNG to restock its inventories. Elsewhere, Saudi Aramco has signed 34 preliminary agreements worth as much as $90 billion with major US companies in Saudi Arabia’s attempt to diversify its economy and attract foreign investment. The NOC commented that the agreements comprise LNG, fuels, chemicals, emission-reduction technologies and artifical intelligence. Finally, at the time of writing, the Jul/Aug’25 and Jul/Jan’26 Brent futures spreads stand at $0.49/bbl and $1.48/bbl, respectively.

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Our team of skilled analysts, by utilising the depth and breadth of Onyx's proprietary data, position ourselves at the cutting edge of market analysis. This unique vantage point grants us an unparalleled perspective in the market, enabling us to identify emerging trends and lucrative opportunities.