
Brent Holds Strong Above The $81/bbl Mark
After ending on a high note on Feb 26, the May Brent futures contract kept its upward momentum with prices hovering around the $81.50/bbl mark.
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Please note that there will be a hiatus in the publication of reports between 22nd December and 2nd January due to the Christmas period. Reports will be published as normal from Monday 5th January 2026.

After ending on a high note on Feb 26, the May Brent futures contract kept its upward momentum with prices hovering around the $81.50/bbl mark.

In Brent, May prices strengthened slightly over the past week with the RSI also showing signs of upward momentum as it crossed overbought territory on Feb 22, at 79. The May RBOB contract traded within Bollinger band although the RSI

While speculators in Brent were more bearish in the week to Feb 20 with a rise in shorts surpassing an increase in longs, WTI enjoyed a more bullish stance amid added length and liquidated short positions.

The HSFO complex has softened across the past fortnight, with weakness seemingly more concentrated in the East. On the other hand, the VLSFO complex saw relatively rangebound price action over the last two weeks, as price movements offered little conviction

The Brent futures flat price for the prompt contract has seen a relatively weak morning. Price action initially found stability above the $83/bbl-mark, before coming off from $83.32/bbl at 08:00 GMT to $82.55/bbl at 09:50 GMT.

Prompt Brent futures flat price has seen a mixed afternoon. Prices were initially pressured, falling $1/bbl in less than 4 hours to $82.41/bbl at 14:05 GMT. However, this level incited some buying interest, with prices retracing higher to $83.69/bbl at

The quest for direction in the oil markets has taken players to more niche markets with trading activity in refined fuels surging to the highest observed in multiple years.

The North Sea crude market was a major winner since the Chinese New Year, riding a wave of robust strength with the front supported from continued tightness.

In the last two weeks, EBOB crack prices initially strengthened to highs of around $18.60/bbl on Feb 13, before retracing $16.55/bbl on Feb 16. During the last fortnight, there was growing sell-side interest, as refiners and trade houses were seen

Prompt Brent futures flat price has seen a mixed afternoon. Prices were initially supported up to $83.48/bbl at 14:30 GMT before selling interest pressured prices lower to $82.10/bbl at 16:20 GMT.

Onyx Alpha will publish speculative and hedging trades every Tuesday based on technical analysis and data-driven tradecraft methods based on Onyx’s COT and Flux Financials data.

The Apr Brent futures contract continued to be supported overnight with prices holding above the $83/bbl mark initially before dipping below it and trading at $82.77/bbl at 10:00 GMT (time of writing). Apr WTI saw a similar softening as prices

In Brent, Apr prices have continued to strengthen, hovering around the $82.50/bbl mark. Nonetheless, from a technical perspective, prices remain firmly within neutral territory on both a Bollinger band and RSI basis.

Speculators for both Brent and WTI portrayed a more bullish outlook as managed by money positions witnessed an increase in longs coupled with a liquidation of shorts for both crude benchmarks

Oil prices were seen hovering around the $82.75/bbl handles on Monday morning after last week witnessed the Brent futures for the Apr contract rise by over 1%, following a 6% gain in the previous week.