Reports

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Naphtha & Gasoline reports

Please note that these reports will now be published every Thursday.

CFTC Weekly: Length Returns to Crude

In the week ending 18 Mar, combined open interest (OI) across both Brent and WTI futures increased more than 3x the previous week. Combined OI rose by 71.8mb (+1.66% w/w). This is the largest increase in OI for Brent +

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Brent Forecast: 24th March 2025

The May’25 Brent crude futures opened on 24 March above $72/bbl, marking its highest level traded since the start of March. Prices were supported last week as the US sanctioned a Chinese teapot refiner for the first time as it

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Naphtha report

Naphtha Report: Crack(ers) Begin To Show

The naphtha market started off the fortnight strong, however, ultimately saw lacklustre performance. The Apr’25 NWE naphtha crack climbed from around -$2.70/bbl on 17 March to a fortnightly high of -$2.45/bbl by 19 March. However, this was short-lived as the

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European Window cover

European Window: Brent Supported Around $73.20/bbl

The May’25 Brent futures contract strengthened from this afternoon’s low of $72.60/bbl at 1340 GMT up to a touch under $73.20/bbl at 1745 GMT (time of writing). Fresh US sanctions on Iran continue to stoke bullish sentiment in crude oil

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Trader Meeting Notes

Trader Meeting Notes: Reigniting Risk

The May’25 Brent futures contract increased from an intraday low of $69.70/bbl on 13 Mar up to a weekly high of $72.00/bbl on 18 Mar. The May’25 contract then sold-off on 19 Mar to $70.00/bbl, which acted as a support

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CFTC Weekly cover

CFTC Predictor: Bulls Back To Work?

In addition to our regular Monday CFTC COT analysis report, Onyx Insight will publish its own in-house CFTC COT forecast ahead of the official Friday report. The model forecasts changes in long and short positions using machine learning, utilising Onyx’s

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European Window cover

European Window: Brent Supported Around $71/bbl

May’25 Brent futures has been supported this afternoon, rising from $70.55/bbl at 1200 GMT up to $71.20/bbl just before 1700 GMT, tapering to $71.00/bl at 1735 GMT (time of writing). EIA stats released this afternoon recorded a 1.75mb build in

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Dated Brent report cover

Dated Brent Report – Physical Maintenance

The Dated Brent physical has seen a strong performance, with the physical differential stable and rangebound around the 80c/bbl region. Prompt CFD rolls have rallied, with the 24-28 March 1-week roll rising to $0.35/bbl. This comes despite being in the

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European Window cover

European Window: Brent weakens below $71/bbl

The front-month Brent futures contract witnessed a weaker afternoon, with prices softening from over $72/bbl at 12:25 GMT to $70.35/bbl at 17:00 GMT. Subsequently, the contract saw a wave of support and rallied to around $71/bbl at 17:20 GMT but

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Gasoline report

Gasoline Report: The bears take a breather

The front-month RBOB futures contract saw a fortnight of two halves. We first saw prices weaken from $2.23/gal on 3 Mar to an intraday low of $2.07/gal on 11 Mar. However, the following week saw prices rise to $2.20/gal at

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