Please note that there will be a hiatus in the publication of reports between 22nd December and 2nd January due to the Christmas period. Reports will be published as normal from Monday 5th January 2026.
The Dated physical differential feels more supported after a choppy time last week, as it was not easily settled at the lower levels. There was strong buying in the front end, which allowed the differential to be priced at around
The Jul’25 Brent futures contract initially fell from $64.97/bbl to $64.47/bbl before rallying to $65.14/bbl at 10:33 BST. Prices have since slightly fallen to $64.92 at 11:30 BST (time of writing). In the news, OPEC+ is working to balance the
The Jul’25 Brent futures reached over $65.30/bbl at 09:40 BST before softening to $84.85/bbl at 10:55 BST (time of writing). President Trump criticised Vladimir Putin following a record wave of Russian attacks on Ukraine, saying, “He has gone absolutely CRAZY!”
The Jul’25 Brent futures contract initially dropped from $64.58/bbl down to $63.41/bbl at 13:10 BST. Prices then rallied all afternoon to $65.01/bbl but slightly came off to $64.72 at 17:15 BST (time of writing). In the news, US President Donald
High Sulphur Fuel Oil contracts saw their huge rally come to an end this fortnight, and prices in both curves have softened over the past week. The Jun’25 3.5% barge rose to above flat, and was bid at +10c/bbl on
The Jul’25 Brent futures contact saw prices jumping between $63.86/bbl and $64.18/bbl in the early morning, followed by a rally up to $64.42 at 11:30 BST (time of writing). In the news, Murban crude premiums have fallen to six-month lows
The Jul’25 Brent futures contract saw prices rally all afternoon to $65.95/bbl at 17:35 BST before falling off to $64.42/bbl at 18:00 BST (time of writing). In the news, Indonesia is questioning a number Singapore-based trading firms as part of
It’s been a remarkably flat week in Brent. Jul’25 is around $64.00/bbl at the time of writing on 22 May, almost exactly where it was this time last week. But what has changed? It feels like a lot has changed.
In addition to our regular Monday CFTC COT analysis report, Onyx Insight will publish its own in-house CFTC COT forecast ahead of the official Friday report. The model forecasts changes in long and short positions using machine learning, utilising Onyx’s
This fortnight, the naphtha market saw greater weakness. NWE naphtha cracks and spreads saw notable weakness through May. The Jun’25 crack fell from -$2.65/bbl on 8 May to -$3.90/bbl by 22 May, erasing earlier gains and dropping below 2018 and
The Jul’25 Brent futures contract fell from $65.03/bbl to $63.69/bbl at 08:14 BST. Prices slightly recovered to $63.87/bbl at 11:25 BST (time of writing). In the news, OPEC+ is discussing a potential oil production increase of 411kb/d for July, Bloomberg
The Jun’25 Mont Belvieu TET propane (Energy Transfer) contract, C3 LST, initially climbed this fortnight amid support in LST spreads and buy-side interest in the C3 LST/FEI arb. However, price action has since been stagnant, declining from 79.50c/gal on 14
The Jul’25 Brent futures contract initially climbed to $66.30/bbl at 13:16 BST but retreated throughout the afternoon to $64.97/bbl at17:30 BST (time of writing). In the news, the EIA reported that US crude and fuel inventories unexpectedly rose last week.
Jul’25 Brent futures jumped by $0.60/bbl last night following a CNN report that said Israel is considering a strike on Iranian nuclear facilities. These gains have been lost over the morning as the contract softened to $65.95/bbl at 11:40 BST
In our previous report, we anticipated a prolonged period of de‑risking in the Brent/Dubai complex, with prices oscillating within a broad band, and that’s exactly what we’ve seen. Over the past fortnight, the Jun’25 Brent/Dubai crack traded between -$0.25/bbl and
