Naphtha & Gasoline reports
Please note that these reports will now be published every Thursday.
The Jan’25 Brent future is trading near recent bottoms, with a wedge forming with lower highs from early October and a quite weak momentum in the bear trend shown by a negative but small MACD differential. We anticipate a short
After selling-off on Friday afternoon, the Jan’25 Brent futures contract saw strength this morning, trading at $71.30/bbl at 07:00 GMT and rising to $71.55/bbl around 10:40 GMT (time of writing). Geopolitical risk has been elevated with US President Biden now
The Jan’25 Brent futures contract declined this afternoon from $72.35/bbl at 12:00 GMT down to $71.00/bbl at 18:00 GMT (time of writing). We have seen bearish sentiment in Brent crude while China oil demand remains weak and Middle East ceasefire
In High Sulfur Fuel Oil (HSFO), the 3.5% bgs and Sing 380 contracts saw a strong rally in the past two weeks, with the strength in the East exceeding that of its European counterpart, with the Dec’24 E/W rallying from
After coming off overnight from $72.60/bbl to lows of $71.40/bbl, the Jan’25 Brent futures contract recovered slightly this morning, trading at $71.63/bbl at 07:00 GMT and moving up to $71.80/bbl around 10:45 GMT (time of writing). Crude oil prices were
A bafflingly coherent Biden skipped the COP29 to have an ecstatic lunch/photo op with Trump in the White House, and with all the big liberal names missing the conference, the only real news came from a righteous speech from Azerbaijan
After initial strength this afternoon, the Jan’25 Brent futures contract ultimately saw weakness this afternoon, moving from $72.45/bbl at 12:00 GMT up to $73.20/bbl 14:20 GMT down to $72.05/bbl at 17:45 GMT (time of writing). EIA data released today
The Jan’25 Brent Futures contract was volatile but saw strength this morning, increasing from $71.85/bbl at 07:00 GMT up to $72.55/bbl at 10:50 GMT (time of writing). Prices reached $72.45/bbl at 09:05 GMT but quickly fell to $72.00 at 09:20
In addition to our regular Monday CFTC COT analysis report, Onyx Insight will publish its own in-house CFTC COT forecast ahead of the official Friday report. The model forecasts changes in long and short positions using machine learning, utilising Onyx’s
The Jan’25 Brent futures contract sold-off mid-afternoon from $72.20/bbl at 13:30 GMT down to $70.80/bbl at 15:00 GMT, however, made a recovery to $72.35/bbl at 18:00 GMT (time of writing). Crude prices saw pressure amid Iranian Oil Minister Mohsen
After trading rangebound overnight, the Jan’25 Brent futures contract saw support this morning, moving from $72.00/bbl at 07:00 GMT up to $72.45 at 10:35 GMT (time of writing). In the news today, Financial Times has revealed that Russia’s energy minister
There was an election across the pond last week, but it would be quite a feat of mental gymnastics to immediately connect the results with the Dated Brent market. Yet, the ramifications of Trump’s re-election may have significant implications for
The Jan’25 Brent futures contract ultimately weakened amid volatility this afternoon, trading from $72.30/bbl at 12:00 GMT up to $72.80/bbl at 14:30 GMT and falling to $71.60/bbl by 16:20 GMT, before recovering to $72.10/bbl at 17:45 GMT (time of
RBOB structure has been well-bid ahead of the US presidential election on 5 Nov as players speculated on all things American, and these likely financial flows supported prices. There was a build of 410kb in US gasoline stocks in the
Another week brings another selection of new trade ideas from Onyx Research, this time looking at trades in crude oil and naphtha swaps. Our weekly Onyx Alpha report presents speculative and hedging trades based on technical analysis and data-driven tradecraft
