Please note that there will be a hiatus in the publication of reports between 22nd December and 2nd January due to the Christmas period. Reports will be published as normal from Monday 5th January 2026.
The Mar’25 Brent futures contract has rallied this morning from $77.30/bbl at 0600 GMT up to $78.85/bbl at 1055 GMT (time of writing). Crude oil prices have seen bullish sentiment amid expectations of potential supply disruptions from US sanctions on
The Mar’25 Brent futures contract has seen steady support this afternoon, increasing from around $76.40/bbl at 1200 GMT up to $77.20/bbl at 1725 GMT (time of writing). In the news today, Saudi Arabia’s crude oil supply is set to decline
It’s been an eventful first week back in the office. Donald Trump’s back at it, playing Monopoly with a globe in front of him, while here in the UK, electricity prices were gone (berserk) with the wind. Meanwhile, the Mar’25
In addition to our regular Monday CFTC COT analysis report, Onyx Insight will publish its own in-house CFTC COT forecast ahead of the official Friday report. The model forecasts changes in long and short positions using machine learning, utilising Onyx’s
Mar’25 Brent futures dropped overnight to a low of around $75.70/bbl at 0140 GMT before it was slightly more supported to $76.10/bbl at 1020 GMT (time of writing). Shell has deemed its oil discovery off Namibia’s coast commercially unviable, leading
After reaching nearly $77.90/bbl this morning, the Mar’25 Brent futures contract has weakened this afternoon, selling-off from $77.50/bbl around 1300 GMT down to $76.25/bbl at 1730 GMT (time of writing). Crude oil prices saw bearish sentiment alongside the release of
The Mar’25 Brent futures flat price strengthened overnight from the $77/bbl level, reaching a high of $77.88/bbl at 08:38 GMT and is set to test the $78/bbl resistance level. Alongside expectations of further sanctions on Russia and hopes for a
The bears had their turn over the festive period, and the Dated Brent bulls have entered 2025 fully locked in. Physical differentials climbed above $0/bbl on 06 Jan, and the direction and momentum of the physical will dictate the market
The Mar’25 Brent futures contract strengthened above $77/bbl at noon GMT today, where it met resistance and softened to $76.70/bbl at 14:15 GMT. Since then, the benchmark crude futures contract has continued to oscillate between these ranges, seeing resistance at
The Feb’25 RBOB futures contract saw support at the end of 2024 but began the new year softening from $2.07/gal on 03 Jan to $2.03/gal on 07 Jan (at the time of writing).
Another week brings another selection of new trade ideas from Onyx Research, this time looking at trades in crude oil and gasoline swaps. Our weekly Onyx Alpha report presents speculative and hedging trades based on technical analysis and data-driven tradecraft
The Mar’25 Brent futures contract initially declined this morning from around $76.30/bbl at 0615 GMT down to almost $75.90/bbl at 0900 GMT, before recovering to $76.60/bbl at 1030 GMT (time of writing). In the news today, South Sudan’s government has
After seeing strength this morning, the Mar’25 Brent futures continued to rise from $76.80/bbl at 1200 GMT up to $77.50/bbl at 1515 GMT, before declining to $76.30/bbl at 1740 GMT (time of writing). In the news today, the Biden administration
In the week ending 24 December, money managers were risk-off in Brent while adding length to their long positions in WTI. With crude oil markets quietening down for the holiday season, we saw proportionately lower positional changes in the latter
Mar’25 Brent futures strengthened, rising from $73.40/bbl on 30 Dec to $76.90/bbl on 6 Jan, with higher highs and lows. The RSI entered overbought territory on Jan 3, while Bollinger bands widened due to increased volatility. The MACD indicated bullish
