Please note that there will be a hiatus in the publication of reports between 22nd December and 2nd January due to the Christmas period. Reports will be published as normal from Monday 5th January 2026.
Brent gapped down on the open on Monday as a chunk of geopolitical risk was removed following a bearish market reaction to Israel’s attack on Iranian military bases. US-backed ceasefires continue to bring some hope, and geopolitical tensions are semi-resigned
In addition to our regular Monday CFTC COT analysis report, Onyx Insight will publish its own in-house CFTC COT forecast ahead of the official Friday report. The model forecasts changes in long and short positions using machine learning, utilising Onyx’s
The Jan’25 Brent futures contract strengthened this afternoon, increasing from $71.90/bbl at 12:00 GMT up to $72.35/bbl at 17:45 GMT (time of writing). Price spiked 75c up to $72.65/bbl shortly before 12:30 GMT amid an OPEC+ announcement that the oil
The Jan’25 Brent futures contract strengthened marginally this morning, moving from $71.70/bbl at 07:00 GMT to touch $71.80/bbl at 10:30 GMT (time of writing). Price action was volatile this morning alongside fluctuating geopolitical risk premia, spiking to almost $72.10/bbl around
The Brent futures market was taut in anticipation and volatility last week as the leak of intelligence about the, at the time, looming Israeli strike on Iran meant that the waiting game would have to continue, and there were fewer
Jan’25 Brent futures flat price weakened this afternoon, falling from around $71.90/bbl at 12:00 GMT and finding a floor around $70.30/bbl at 15:30 GMT before rising to $70.68/bbl at 17:30 GMT (time of writing). Crude oil prices faced downward pressure
It was two weeks of retracement for the gasoline complex, with the supply situation improving in the Atlantic Basin. Previously, bullish factors, including supply tightness in the Mediterranean, demand-pull from West Africa (WAF), and US demand, had supported the market.
Another week brings another selection of new trade ideas from Onyx Research, this time looking at trades in gasoline and high sulphur fuel oil swaps. Our weekly Onyx Alpha report presents speculative and hedging trades based on technical analysis and
The Jan’25 Brent futures contract strengthened from $70.90/bbl at 07:00 BST to $71.75/bbl at 10:35 BST (time of writing). Prices saw support this morning amid reports of Chinese power demand growing faster than expected in 2024. In the news today,
The Jan’25 Brent futures saw an interesting trend this afternoon as price action initially rose from the $71/bbl level at 13:00 GMT, creating a triple top pattern near $71.90/bbl before falling lower to $71.35/bbl by 17:30 GMT (time of writing).
The Market Resets Oil prices finally saw a cooling of the geopolitical risk premia tied to fears of an Israeli attack on Iranian oil and nuclear infrastructure, with the soon-to-be-prompt Jan’25 Brent futures contract falling from a close of $75.62/bbl
In the early hours of Saturday, Israel launched a series of targeted airstrikes on Iranian military targets, killing 4. This move has temporarily eased the oil market’s anxieties, which have been high on Middle Eastern tensions and the geopolitical risk
In the week ending 22 October, Brent and WTI futures both saw relatively rangebound price movements as the market grappled with fluctuating geopolitical risk sentiment and sluggish Chinese oil consumption. In terms of positioning, money managers got increasingly shorter. Until
After selling off overnight to around $72.25/bbl following Israel’s Friday night retaliation against Iran for their 01 Oct attack, the Jan’25 Brent futures contract has seen further weakness this morning, moving from $72.55/bbl at 07:00 GMT down to $71.10/bbl at
The Dec’24 Brent futures contract saw consistent support this afternoon, moving from $74.88/bbl at 12:00 BST up to $76.00/bbl shortly before 17:00 BST, before weakening slightly to $75.60/bbl at 17:20 BST (time of writing). Price action saw upward pressure this
