NGLs

The Jan’26 Brent futures contract weakened this afternoon, from $64/bbl at 13:00 GMT to $62.98/bbl at 17:00 GMT (time of writing). In the news, Reuters reported that Lukoil’s Volgograd refinery has halted operations after a Ukrainian drone attack in the Southern city. The refinery (capacity 100mb/d) reported that its primary CDU unit and a hydrocracker had been damaged in the attack. In other news, Russian oil is trading at its biggest discount to Brent crude in a year, as Indian and Chinese refiners cut their purchases amid US sanctions on Russian major companies. According to a Reuters report, the gap between Russian Urals and Brent increased by $2/bbl y/y to roughly $4/bbl below Brent for December delivery. Elsewhere, PetroChina is planning to phase out production at 19 inefficient units across its facilities as it looks to trim overcapacity. Finally, at time of writing, the front-month Jan/Feb’26 and 6-month Jan/Jul’26 are at $0.26/bbl and $0.24/bbl, respectively.

The Jan’26 Brent futures contract initially rose this afternoon, from $64.10/bbl at 14:00 GMT to $64.67/bbl at 16:00 GMT. Prices met resistance here, easing to $63.71/bbl at 17:00 GMT (time of writing). In the news, Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic has stated that Russia is seeking partners for NIS, the Serbian-based oil company currently under US sanctions, to resolve a deadlock with the US regarding the company’s Russian ownership. Elsewhere, Reuters sources have reported that the Iraqi state oil company SOMO has cancelled three Lukoil crude oil loadings this month, following new US sanctions on the Russian oil giant. The loadings from Iraq’s West Qurna-2 oilfield (of which Lukoil holds a 75% equity stake) were scheduled for mid-November. In Bulgaria, local media reports indicate that the government intends to propose legislation allowing a special manager, if appointed, to oversee the sale of the Burgas oil refinery (capacity 190kb/d), which Lukoil owns. The legislation would amend the rights of a special manager to sell the asset, to which the refinery’s legal owner would have no right to appeal. Finally, the front-month Jan/Feb’26 and 6-month Jan/Jul’26 spreads are at $0.30/bbl and $0.43/bbl, respectively.

The Jan’26 Brent futures contract rose this afternoon, from $63.93/bbl at 14:00 GMT to $64.55/bbl at 17:00 GMT (time of writing). In the news, a Reuters survey shows that OPEC’s oil output increased by 30kb/d m/m in October, although the growth rate slowed compared to September. In Nigeria, the country’s national oil company (NNPC) is set to raise oil production to 2mb/d within the next two years, according to the executive vice president for upstream, Udy Ntia. In other news, Reuters sources have reported that Russian oil giant Lukoil is having difficulty maintaining its international operations as Western sanctions disrupt oil loadings in Iraq, pump stations in Finland, and trading in Switzerland. Lukoil’s Geneva-based trading arm, Litasco, has reportedly struggled to charter ships as UK-based shipbrokers have refused to cooperate after Western sanctions. Further, employee layoffs have also been reported at Litasco. Elsewhere, a document seen by Reuters has revealed that a major fuel supplier in Turkey has informed its clients that its diesel prices will rise, citing Western sanctions on Russian oil; the supplier was not named. Finally, at time of writing, the front-month Jan/Feb’26 and 6-month Jan/Jul’26 spreads are at $0.38/bbl and $0.75/bbl, respectively.

The Jan’26 Brent futures contract has risen this afternoon, from $64.34/bbl at 15:29 GMT to $65.27/bbl at 16:30 GMT. Prices have since eased to $65.05/bbl at 17:30 GMT (time of writing). In the news, Reuters has reported that Venezuela’s oil exports have declined to 808kb/d (-26% m/m), after reaching five-year highs in September. According to state firm PDVSA, the country’s Russian light crude and naphtha imports fell by 105kb/d, reducing inventories of diluents and blend crudes. Elsewhere, Morgan Stanley has revised its Brent crude forecast for the first half of 2026, citing OPEC+’s decision to halt quota increases in Q1 2026 and Western sanctions on Russian oil. Elsewhere, ExxonMobil Chief Executive Darren Woods has told Reuters that the company would be forced to exit its operations in Europe if the EU does not agree to ease its sustainability measures. Furthermore, Italy’s Eni and Malaysia’s Petronas are combining their upstream assets in Indonesia and Malaysia in an equally owned joint venture, according to an Eni statement. Finally, at time of writing, the front-month Jan/Feb’26 and 6-month Jan/Jul’26 are at $0.47/bbl and $1/bbl, respectively.

The Jan’26 Brent futures rose to a high of $65.15/bbl at 13.06 GMT before it softened to see support at $64.25/bbl around 16.15 GMT before it inched up to $64.72/bbl at 17.30 GMT (time of writing). President Trump denied considering military strikes inside Venezuela, contradicting his earlier remarks. The US has recently increased its military presence in the Caribbean, soon to expand with the Gerald Ford carrier strike group. It remains unclear whether Trump ruled out future strikes or simply said no decision had been made. Elsewhere, OPEC+ is likely to agree on another modest output hike for December as the group aims to regain market share despite predictions of a supply glut next year. According to Reuters, the hike will likely mirror the group’s last increase of 137kb/d. In Bulgaria, the country’s parliament has temporarily banned the export of some fuels, particularly diesel and jet fuel, after US sanctions on Russia’s Lukoil. Finally, at the time of writing, the front-month Jan/Feb’26 and 6-month Jan/Jul’26 spreads are at $0.45/bbl and $0.71/bbl, respectively.

The Jan’26 Brent futures contract has marginally risen this afternoon, from $64.23/bbl at 13:00 GMT to $64.37/bbl at 17:00 GMT (time of writing). In a Bloomberg TV interview, US Energy Secretary Chris Wright stated that the US is prepared to increase oil and gas exports to China if the country reduces its Russian energy purchases. Elsewhere, according to a presidential memo seen by Reuters, Nigeria has imposed a 15% import duty on petrol and diesel. According to Reuters, the Nigerian government aims to safeguard its investments in local refining by limiting the entry of cheaper fuel. Its state-owned oil company, NPCC, is also reportedly seeking to revive three state refineries (combined capacity of 445kbd) that have been idle for years. The Warri, Port Harcourt, and Kaduna refineries are undergoing technical and commercial review by NNPC, according to group CEO Bashir Bayo Ojulari via X. In other news, Chinese offshore crude and gas producer CNOOC Ltd has reported a 12.2% decline in net profit for Q3 y/y; PetroChina has also reported a fall in Q3 net profits, down 3.9% y/y, per Reuters. Finally, at the time of writing, the front-month Jan/Feb’26 and 6-month Jan/Jul’26 spreads are at $0.45/bbl and $0.71/bbl, respectively.

The Jan’26 Brent futures contract has risen this afternoon, from $64.37/bbl at 13:00 GMT to $65.02/bbl at 17:00 GMT (time of writing). In the news, Reuters has reported that India’s HPCL-Mittal Energy Ltd has suspended Russian oil purchases after new US sanctions. In the US, a Treasury Department post has confirmed the authorisation of a Russia-related general license; the license reportedly grants permission for transactions between Rosneft Deutschland GmbH and RN Refining & Marketing GmbH. According to the post, the authorisation is granted until 26 April 2026. In India, Reuters has reported that state-held Indian Oil Corporation Ltd is preparing to launch a joint trading venture with Vitol to trade crude oil and fuels in 2026. Reuters sources say the joint venture will be initially based in Singapore and will operate for 5-7 years. Elsewhere, Kpler reported that an Aframax tanker carrying Rosneft crude, bound for India, reversed course shortly after leaving the Russian coast and is now reported to be idle in the Baltic Sea. According to Kpler and Vortexa data, on board is 730kb of Russian Urals crude initially set for delivery in mid-November. Finally, at the time of writing, the front-month Jan/Feb’26 and 6-month Jan/Jul’26 spreads are at $0.48/bbl and $0.77/bbl, respectively.