The Aug’25 Brent futures fell to $73.92/bbl before bouncing back to $74.95/bbl. Prices fell for the rest of the afernoon to $73.49/bbl at 17:45 BST (time of writing). In the news, The IEA stated it was prepared to release oil from emergency reserves if Israel's attack on Iran caused significant market disruptions. The agency emphasized that global supplies remained stable, with 1.2B barrels available in strategic reserves. OPEC sharply criticized the IEA's remarks, accusing it of stoking unnecessary fear and insisting there was no need for such measures. While Iran’s energy infrastructure hasn’t been hit, markets remain anxious about potential ...

In this publication, we leverage Onyx's proprietary Commitment of Traders data in order to identify changes in swap Open Interest and Positioning against Onyx with a view, in conjunction with long/short entry price levels and volatility analysis to identify potential continuation or reversal trends. In this edition, we take a look at the Jul'25 Naphtha Crack.

In this publication, we leverage Onyx's proprietary Commitment of Traders data in order to identify changes in swap Open Interest and Positioning against Onyx with a view, in conjunction with long/short entry price levels and volatility analysis to identify potential continuation or reversal trends. In this edition, we take a look at the Jul'25 Gasoline Arb (RBOB - EBOB).

Price action never lies, and renewed fears of geopolitical risk in the Middle East saw Brent flirt with 70, with prices reaching their highest level since OPEC+ first announced their output hike.

The Aug’25 Brent futures contract rallied this afternoon from $68.45/bbl at 13:00 BST to $69.80/bbl at 17:00 BST before softening to $69.50/bbl at 17:15 BST (time of writing). US Energy Secretary Chris Wright said it's "unlikely" oil production will fall next year, pushing back on a government forecast predicting a decline. In a Bloomberg interview, Wright said the outlook depends on oil prices and whether companies cut investment as planned. The Energy Information Administration on Tuesday projected the first production drop since 2021. South Sudan has resumed oil exports through Sudan after repairing a pipeline damaged by an airstrike. Petroleum ...

See all the updates across the barrel in this week’s Onyx Commitment of Traders report, as well as six contracts to watch. Click on the relevant button below to access your COT report.

The Aug’25 Brent futures contract saw a volatile afternoon with prices bouncing between $67.76/bbl and $68.29/bbl. Prices then rallied to $68.35/bbl at 17.30 BST (time of writing). In the news, US crude inventories fell by 3.6 mb in the week to Jun 6 to 432.4 mb, a larger draw than expected, as refinery activity picked up, the EIA reported. Refinery utilization rose to 94.3%, the highest crude intake since December 2019. Gasoline and distillate stocks increased by 1.5 mb and 1.2 mb, respectively, while distillate demand fell to its lowest level since April. Notably, the US recorded no crude imports ...

The Aug’25 Brent futures contract slightly fell off to $67.13/bbl before rallying to $67.95/bbl at 16:35 BST. Prices have since softened to $67.47/bbl at 17:45 BST (time of writing). In the news, US-China trade talks continue in London, President Trump described the discussions as positive, fuelling market confidence. Irving Oil has begun a $100 million upgrade of the fluid catalytic cracking unit at its St. John refinery in New Brunswick, Canada's largest refinery with a capacity of 320kb/d. The project aims to enhance the facility’s ability to produce gasoline and diesel, and is expected to create 675 construction jobs. New ...