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News Alerts

Trump Reversal on Greenland, NatGas, Uranium

Greenland reversal lifts risk; US data strong as Q4 GDP/PCE loom, rate cut bets at risk. Nat gas, uranium surge; global PMIs firm

Trumps reversal on Greenland (“won’t use force” to secure Greenland but will opt for “negotiations.”) saw risk jump (S&P +1.11%, Nasdaq +1.4%), and precious metals pause their bull run.

22 January 2026

M1 ICE LS Gasoil Crack – Bullish Momentum, but Critical Resistance Ahead

Significant rise in the RSI, highlighting the bullish shift in the contract...

The M1 ICE LS gasoil crack saw a significant rise in the 14-day RSI, reflecting the positive momentum seen this week....

22 January 2026

Markets Stabilise, Equity Uptrend Breaks, UK Inflation

Markets stabilise after rout but equity uptrend broken; JGBs, gold surges, BTC weak, sentiment ahead of key US data.

Markets have stabilised today after yesterday’s rout, though with the S&P500 -2.1% the equity uptrend has clearly broken.

21 January 2026

Heads of Desk: Top of Mind – Episode 31

The heads of Onyx Commodities' trading desks Onyx' head of trading desks discuss the latest in Crude, Fuel, Distillates, and more markets
  • Listen to what's going on in Dated, Dubai, Options and Volatility, Distillates, Fuel, Naphtha, Gasoline , Refinery Margins, NGLs, and European Power this week
  • This episode was recorded on Tuesday, the 20th of January 2026, at 11:00 a.m., London time.
20 January 2026

Japanese Bond Crisis, US Yields Rise

Global bond stress flares: Japan 30y yields hit 27-yr highs, US curve steepens, stocks slide, metals surge, jobs weaken, inflation risks

Japanese bond crisis is here.

20 January 2026

Trump’s EU Tariffs & Greenland, US Data Recap

Trump tariffs spark volatility: yields surge, stocks fall, metals mixed. EU readies retaliation, Japan rates wobble, data beats US.

Volatility is back as Trump throws another weekend grenade.

19 January 2026
AI generated image of a cartoon bear that is nervous about a economic chart

US 2-yr Bond Yields Risk Breakout, Jobless Claims, Amazon Strikes Deal with Rio Tinto

Breakout risk in US 2y yields on data; dollar up, metals/Fed-cut trades unwind. OIS prices just 20bp cuts. Asia AI, power demand surge

The biggest risk to crowded consensus trades is a breakout higher in U.S. 2-year yields.

16 January 2026

US Hard Data on the Rise, Silver Corrects, China Posts Record Global Trade Surplus

US data (PPI, retail, homes); yields up, equities wobble, rotation to defensives. Trump calms Fed/tariffs/geopolitics; oil, silver slides

U.S. data continues to beat expectations with PPI (a CPI lead indicator) jumping markedly to +3.0% (est 2.7%), retail sales +0.6% MoM (est +0.4% ), and existing home sales jumped from 4.14M to 4.35M.

15 January 2026

Fed Rate Cut Expectations, Defensive Stocks Rally, Bitcoin Bounce

Hard assets surge as growth stays strong and yields rise; equities rotate defensively, bond risks mount, fiscal gaps widen

Silver is already up exactly 25% year to date, aluminium 21%, and the move from financial assets to hard assets continues.

14 January 2026

Heads of Desk: Top of Mind – Episode 30

The heads of Onyx Commodities' trading desks Onyx' head of trading desks discuss the latest in the oil, gas, power, and carbon markets.
  • Listen to what's going on in Dated, Dubai, Options and Volatility, Distillates, Fuel, Naphtha, Gasoline , Refinery Margins, NGLs, and European Power this week
  • This episode was recorded on Tuesday, the 13th of January 2026, at 11:00 a.m., London time.
13 January 2026

S&P All-Time Highs, Bond Curve Repricing Risk,Trump Tariffs

Stocks hit ATHs as bonds reprice fewer Fed cuts; yields, USD up, curve flattens. Japan rates jump, yen sinks, uranium soars, Trump tariffs

While the S&P500, gold & silver make new all-time highs, the front of the bond curve is repricing risk.

13 January 2026

Vitol to Load First Diluent Cargo from US to Venezuela

As part of supply agreements, Vitol will load a diluent cargo to Venezuela
  • Vitol Diluent Cargo is set to be shipped on Vessel Hellenspont Protector from US gulf coast and is expected to arrive in Venezuela next week.

  • A top Vitol executive said: "We are here to ensure that you [president Trump] are going to be able to move oil around the world, at the best price possible."

11 January 2026

Old habits die hard

Edition: Asia Edition
The talk is in Davos this week, but pay close attention to VLCCs as Dubai remains weak. Meanwhile, China imports record Russian LNG.
22 January 2026

Dated reality check

Edition: Euro Edition
The physical differential takes a massive hit as SPM3 is expected to come back at last. All that while the market is focused in Davos.
21 January 2026

Shooting up!

Edition: Asia Edition
CPC to reopen, but Tengiz oil field has different plans and Brent is rallying again!
21 January 2026

Switching it up!

Edition: Euro Edition
TTF rallies, as well as Dated Brent after another problem on the CPC and Libya. While government bonds are selling off everywhere
20 January 2026

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Latest Reports

Cargo ship

Freight Carrying the Weight

3.5% neutral, HSFO crowded longs/caution, VLSFO curve bullish but momentum fading; E/W spreads strong.
22 January 2026

Brent Sub-$65/bbl

Aramco says oil glut overstated; US refiners buy Venezuelan crude; tanker rates lift Russian trade.
4 page report
22 January 2026

Diverging Moves In Brent and Gasoil

In the week ending 20 Jan, the M1 Brent futures contract fell from a high of $66.80/bbl to a low of $63.40/bbl, where it met support....
8 page report
22 January 2026

Not-So-Sweet Sentiment

See all the updates across the barrel and a half dozen contracts to watch in our six reports.
6 reports
21 January 2026
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