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European Window: Brent Rebounds to $67.08/bbl

Brent Sep’25 futures dip to $66.70/bbl. Kazakhstan exceeds OPEC+ quotas. Equinor invests $1.3B to expand oilfield, Indonesia targets 1 mb/d output.

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The September Brent Futures contract has seen a mixed afternoon, peaking at $67.50/bbl at noon, before being sold off following the US open to a low of $66.70/bbl, and rebounding up to $67.08/bbl at the time of writing (17:30 BST). In headlines, Kazakhstan’s crude oil production surged by 7.5% in June to 1.88 mb/d, matching its record high from March and significantly exceeding its OPEC+ quota of 1.5 mb/d, reflecting a continued trend of noncompliance, according to Reuters. Meanwhile, Norway’s Equinor and its partners announced a $1.3 billion (13 billion NOK) investment in Phase 3 of the Johan Sverdrup oilfield, adding two subsea templates and new pipelines to boost recoverable volumes by 40–50 mboe, with production expected by late 2027. In Asia, Indonesia has introduced new regulations to attract oil drilling technology providers to help revive idle wells and raise national oil output from under 6 kb/d to 1 mb/d by 2029–2030, according to Deputy Energy Minister Yuliot Tanjung. At the time of writing, the front (Sep/Oct) and 6-month (Sep/Mar’26) Brent spreads are at $0.90/bbl and $2.22/bbl, respectively.

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Our team of skilled analysts, by utilising the depth and breadth of Onyx's proprietary data, position ourselves at the cutting edge of market analysis. This unique vantage point grants us an unparalleled perspective in the market, enabling us to identify emerging trends and lucrative opportunities.