Reports

Industry-leading market insights. Get daily, weekly and monthly reports from Onyx Research, featuring expert analysis and interactive graphs. ​

Naphtha & Gasoline reports

Please note that these reports will now be published every Thursday.

Brent Forecast: 23rd September 2024

Lacking a spark, continued rangebound prices in Brent. We are looking for the front month Nov’24 contract to finish the week between $70-75/bbl as we fail to see any reason for Brent to break out of this rangebound regime. This

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European Window cover

European Window: Brent Inches Up To $74.76/bbl

The Nov’24 Brent futures price inched up this afternoon from $74.59/bbl at 12:00 BST to $74.76/bbl at 17:30 BST (time of writing). In the news today, Russia has boosted its use of sanctioned tankers to export oil, demonstrating the country’s

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Fuel Oil report cover

Fuel Oil Report – Chinese Q-woah!-tas

In high sulphur fuel oil, we saw some greater strength in the European HSFO complex. The Oct’24 3.5% Barges crack climbed from -$13.55/bbl on 2 Sep to -$9.05/bbl by 19 Sep, fueled by trade houses adding 535kb of longs and

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Brent Forecast Review: 20th September 2024

Finally, some strength! At the start of the week, we forecasted that the front-month Brent futures contract would tick slightly higher through the week, but ultimately remain rangebound between $71-74/bbl. As of 20 Sep, 11:50 BST (time of writing), the

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European Window cover

European Window: Brent Strengthens To $75.67/bbl

The Nov’24 Brent futures contract showed volatility this afternoon but ultimately strengthened from $74.30/bbl at 12:00 BST to $75.67/bbl at 17:15 BST (time of writing), indicating a possible continuation of recent bullish sentiment. In the news today, ING, the largest

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Trader Meeting Notes

Trader Meeting Notes: So It Begins

The Fed has initiated the rate easing cycle, lowering its key overnight borrowing rate by 50 bps. To be sure, it was an aggressive start and underscored the Fed’s concerns surrounding employment, in contrast to its sanguine views on inflation.

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CFTC Weekly cover

CFTC Predictor: Bulls Charge As Bears Retreat?

In addition to our regular Monday CFTC COT analysis report, Onyx Insight will publish its own in-house CFTC COT forecast ahead of the official Friday report. The model forecasts changes in long and short positions using machine learning, utilising Onyx’s

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European Window cover

European Window: Brent Rallies To $74.20/bbl

Nov’24 Brent Futures flat price rallied from $72.59/bbl at 12:00 BST up to $74.20/bbl handles at 17:45 BST (time of writing). In the news today, Venezuela’s largest oil refinery, the Amuay refinery, has been reported as offline since 12 Sep

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Dated Brent report cover

Dated Brent Report – Any Last Sellers?

September has been a month of many firsts in Brent futures: for one, the benchmark crude futures contract collapsed below $70/bbl on 10 Sep for the first time in three years. Soon after this feat, ICE COT data for the

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Gasoline report

Gasoline Report: Hurri-came and went…

The gasoline market has reached a bottom and has begun stabilising due in part to Hurricane Francine, which caused little damage, but the headline was enough to prompt some buying, it seems. Gasoline continued to drive poor sentiment in refinery

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