Fuel Oil Report – Ships Don’t Lie
August 23, 2024
Very low sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO) saw a very strong two weeks, with strength especially prominent in the past week and beginning to soften on 24 Aug.
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Overnight & Singapore Window: Brent Meets Resistance at $78/bbl
August 23, 2024
The Oct’24 Brent futures contract stood around $77.30/bbl early this morning before firming up to $78.05/bbl as of 10:55 BST. However, the contract met resistance here and softened to $77.85/bbl as of 11:15 BST (time of writing).
The Officials: Brent’s on the rebound
August 22, 2024
22 August 2024: 16:30 BST Vitol made Equinor’s dreams come true in the North Sea, with the Nordics finally selling a Sep 11-13 JohanSverdrup at Dated -95c. They’ve been trying to shift the medium sour for days. One could say
European Window: Brent Strengthens to $77.55/bbl
August 22, 2024
The Oct’24 Brent futures contract traded around a range of $76.20/bbl and $76.50/bbl between 13:00 BST and 14:45 BST before strengthening further into the afternoon, firming up to $77.55/bbl as of 17:10 BST (time of writing).
Trader Meeting Notes: Nightmare Fuel (Oil)
August 22, 2024
Alexa, play Down by Jay Sean. What goes up must come down, and our old friend Brent Futures is once again staring down at the abyss. The bullish EIA stats reading was the perfect dead cat bounce for longs to
The Officials: Dubai holds up, just don’t look at the Asian macros
August 22, 2024
22 August 2024: 09:30 BST Vitol doesn’t just set the floor in Dubai; they lift it. The Dubai physical premium (Physical minus M+2) rose 5cto 87c, while the Dubai physical discount relative to October Brent futures continued to narrow from-$1.86/bbl
Overnight & Singapore Window: Brent Rises to $76.50/bbl
August 22, 2024
The October Brent Futures contract has seen strength this morning, trading from a low of $75.84 at 09:00 BST up to $76.26/bbl at the time of writing (11:20 BST). In headlines, Nigeria’s Dangote refinery plans to source more of its
CFTC Predictor: Sentiment tips in favour of the bears
August 22, 2024
In addition to our regular Monday CFTC COT analysis report, Onyx Insight will publish its own in-house CFTC COT forecast ahead of the official Friday report. The model forecasts changes in long and short positions using machine learning, utilising Onyx’s
The Officials: Dead cat bounce gets Kennie again
August 21, 2024
21 August 2024: 16:30 BST In ‘The Officials’, Onyx Capital Advisory publishes outright values, spreads, cracks and boxes for the main energy commodities traded in the marketplace. The published values are determined independently and on a fair market basis by
European Window: Brent Falls to $76.30/bbl
August 21, 2024
Oct’24 Brent futures flat price has seen pressure this afternoon, from over $77.70/bbl at 14.00 BST to $76.30/bbl at 17.30 BST (time of writing). The EIA US inventory report revealed a 4.649mb draw in crude stocks compared to the 2.2mb
The Officials: Vitol keeps Dubai premiums afloat
August 21, 2024
21 August 2024: 09:30 BST In ‘The Officials’, Onyx Capital Advisory publishes outright values, spreads, cracks and boxes for the main energy commodities traded in the marketplace. The published values are determined independently and on a fair market basis by
Overnight & Singapore Window: Brent Strengthens back to $77.60/bbl
August 21, 2024
The October Brent futures flat price performed better on Wednesday morning, rising from the $77/bbl level to $77.60/bbl at 11:30 BST (time of writing). API inventory data was lacklustre, as US crude stocks indicated a +347kb build against expectations of
Dated Brent Report – EFP-redicting a sell off?
August 20, 2024
The chasm between the reality of demand sentiment and the crude oil futures markets, by extension, and the continued relentless buying in the North Sea physical seems to have been driven even wider this fortnight. Oct’24 EFP continues to price
European Window: Brent sees resistance above $78/bbl
August 20, 2024
The October Brent Futures contract experienced a mixed afternoon, trading sideways initially between $77.50/bbl and $77.85/bbl before rallying up to $78.30/bbl around 15:00 BST and experiencing a strong correction downwards to trade at $77.30/bbl at the time of writing (17:30
Overnight & Singapore Window: Brent Strengthens back to $77.70/bbl
August 20, 2024
The October Brent Futures contract saw a recovery this morning, trading from the day’s low of $76.59/bbl at 09:30 BST up to $77.80/bbl, at the time of writing, 11:15 BST. In headlines, a major fire has continued into today at
