Flux Markets | The Art of the Half-Baked Deal! Skip to main content

The Officials reports are now published exclusively on officialsbenchmarks.com. Current subscribers to the Officials will be able to log in there automatically to access their content.

The Art of the Half-Baked Deal!

US-India trade deal... maybe, North sea window reversal and TTF takes a tumble.
Published: February 2, 2026
Written by:
Will Cunliffe

Will Cunliffe

Research Analyst, The Officials
Will Cunliffe
,
Edward Hayden-Briffett

Edward Hayden-Briffett

Research Analyst, The Officials
Edward Hayden-Briffett
and
Spyridon Kokas

Spyridon Kokas

Research Analyst, The Officials
Spyridon Kokas
Reviewed by:
Jorge Montepeque

Jorge Montepeque

Head of Benchmarking, Flux
Jorge Montepeque
Edition: Euro EditionVolume: 3Issue: 22
Share

US-India trade deal... maybe, North sea window reversal and TTF takes a tumble.

Trump claims to have a deal with Prime Minister Modi where India will cease buying Russian oil. Trump also said India will lower tariffs for US products to zero and in turn India’s products sold into the US will pay 15%. Moreover, India will buy loads of American products, $500 billion worth of them! His country will have no money left for the trade deal with the Europeans. We will be waiting for Modi’s comments just in case the whole thing is not true. We are also keen to know how he explains to his citizens the inequity in the deal. It will also be interesting to read how the Russians react as supposedly they are discussing peace as good friends, while the US tries to cut them off from the world of oil trade.

Premium Content

To continue reading this page, please login or find our about our subscription options.

The Officials publish outright values, spreads, cracks and boxes for the main energy commodities traded in the marketplace. The published values are determined independently and on a fair market basis by our team of dedicated professionals.

We invite you to read our reports, which are published twice a day, reflecting closing values at 16:30 Singapore time (SGT) and at 16:30 London time (GMT/BST). For any comments, please reach out to us through the emails provided in the signed documents.

Related News

Slow Motion

Brent, spreads and cracks stay mostly bearish; support levels under pressure as momentum softens. Downside favoured, except gasoline E/W.
9 page report
2 June 2026

Brent softens amid conflicting headlines

The drop in prices came with US President Donald Trump saying talks with Iran were ongoing. President Trump also said, in a Truth Social...
4 page report
2 June 2026

Dither and Delay

Given their maximalist demands and lack of trust in one another, delay and deadlock remain the more likely outcomes in the near term....
29 page report
1 June 2026

More about
Donald Trump

Pendulum Swings

The closure of the Strait of Hormuz and disruption of feedstock flows have compounded supply tightness concerns in the Asian petrochemical..
17 page report
23 March 2026

Who’s keeping count?

Edition: Euro Edition
Quiet North Sea, jumpy flat price and loudmouth Trump all in one day!
13 February 2026

Guess who’s back!

Edition: Asia Edition
OPEC rumours regarding the supply gun came out and flat price took a hit. Meanwhile, India's Russian appetite is still a question
13 February 2026