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Tick Tock on the Geopolitical Clock

January 2026 saw a remarkably bullish start to the oil market, with Brent pushing above $70/bbl even as the prevailing consensus had...
Published: February 2, 2026
Written by:
Vincent Wu

Vincent Wu

Research Associate, Flux
Vincent Wu
,
Mita Chaturvedi

Mita Chaturvedi

Research Associate, Flux
Mita Chaturvedi
and
Donna Dong

Donna Dong

Research Analyst, Flux
Donna Dong
Reviewed by:
Mita Chaturvedi

Mita Chaturvedi

Research Associate, Flux
Mita Chaturvedi
16 page report
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January 2026 saw a remarkably bullish start to the oil market, with Brent pushing above $70/bbl even as the prevailing consensus had been for a record surplus this year. The key catalyst has been the emergence of a geopolitical risk premium amid heightened tensions over Iran....

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