CFTC WEEKLY PREDICTOR
A premium data-driven report embedding our predictive learning models' forecasts of CFTC positioning
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Money managers are set to adopt a risk-on posture across commodities, extending long positions while reducing short exposures next week.
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Funds Risk-On Across Crude & Products
Brent rebounded on renewed Iran tensions. We expect funds to add longs across crude/products, while producers stay more defensive.
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Funds Bullish Cracks
Managed by money net position forecast to drop in Brent and increase in ICE gasoil and RBOB
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Funds Bullish in Crude and Products
Funds slash buy-side risk in crude but add to it in products
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Funds Bullish in Crude and Products
Money managers likely cut shorts and add longs in Brent, ICE gasoil, RBOB. Producers mixed: add longs/shorts in Brent, de-risk RBOB.
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Funds Bullish in Crude and Products
Brent swung from $99 to sub-$90 before closing at $91.80; funds likely added bullish energy product positioning.
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Longs remain risk-on in RBOB
We still expect producers/merchants to be risk-off in US gasoline futures, though other reportable players are expected to be bearish...
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Bullish Exodus Across Oil Futures
Bulls expected to trim positions across Brent, ICE gasoil, and RBOB futures in week ending 26 May; Brent shorts to rise 8th week in a row
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Anticipated fund selling in Brent
Flux Insights' ICE COT predictor anticipates a removal of net long managed-by-money positioning in Brent futures....
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Funds Bullish Products
Brent sentiment turns bullish as geopolitics worsen; funds buy gasoil/RBOB while producers show mixed positioning.
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Bullish spec changes across the board (2)
We anticipate money managers to add longs to ICE Brent futures in the week ending 05 May...
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Bullish spec changes across the board
In line with this support, we anticipate money managers to add over 10.6mb to their Brent long positions in the week ending 28 Apr...
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Bulls exit Brent longs
We anticipate ICE COT data for the week ending 21 Apr to show managed-by-money players liquidating nearly 6.8mb from their long positions...
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