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EDWARD HAYDEN-BRIFFETT

Research Analyst, Flux

Watch Ed on Flux News

Macro Mondays

A look at the world markets at the beginning of each week

The Officials – European Window

The Officials analyse the state of the market at the end of the trading day in London

The Officials – Singapore Window

The Officials analyse the state of the market at the end of the trading day in Asia

Posts authored by Ed

Hormuz, We Have A Problem

Iran strikes lift risk premium; heavy longs add upside on disruption risk, but correction looms if tensions ease.
16 page report
2 March 2026

Super Duper Bulls

US–Iran tension lifts Brent and freight rates; heavy net longs raise rally risk, but downside looms without disruption.
16 page report
26 February 2026

Pricing in Risk

Among hedgers, the model expects producers/merchants to be fairly risk off in Brent futures amid an exodus of length....
8 page report
26 February 2026

Absolute Ship Show

See all the updates across the barrel, as well as six contracts to watch. ...
6 reports
25 February 2026

New (Lunar) Year, New Dubai

Although we see good buying in Q2'26 and Q3'26 Brent/Dubai, flows in the front remain choppy amid an increasingly indecisive market...
24 February 2026

Resistance Where Art Thou?

Our Technical Take on the Oil Market...
9 page report
24 February 2026

Reversal in the East?

Gasoline cracks edge higher on blending demand; TA arb firms, OI rises, but positioning and E/W signal caution.
14 page report
23 February 2026

Brent remains supported above $70/bbl

Key drivers of this market remain ongoing tensions between the US and Iran, alongside the US Supreme Court's decision to strike down....
4 page report
23 February 2026

Here We Go Again

M1 Brent above $71/bbl; geopoltiical risk; Stright of Hormuz considerations; crude overhang.
16 page report
19 February 2026

A Shorter Week…?

CFTC seen bearish on Brent and gasoil with added shorts, pricing out US-Iran fears; RBOB stays risk-on with heavier buying.
8 page report
19 February 2026

Technical Update – Potential Bearish Catalyst in M1 Brent/Dubai

The rising wedge we highlighted at the start of February (white dashed lines on the chart) flipped from support to resistance...
18 February 2026

Risk-on, Rinse, Repeat

See all the updates across the barrel and a half dozen contracts to watch in our six reports.
6 reports
18 February 2026