US-Iran Strikes Continue Overnight, FOMC Minutes Lean Hawkish
Stocks rally on Trump deal comments, Fed stays hawkish, China CPI misses, AI cash flows weaken, and fund manager cash hits record lows.
JAMES BRODIE
Head of Learning & Development, Flux
About James
James brings a wealth of expertise, having over 20 years of front-office trading experience across major financial hubs like London, New York, Tokyo, and Singapore.
He specializes in Commodity Markets, Technical Analysis, Behavioural Finance, Risk Management, and Performance Enhancement. He is a Chartered Market Technician (C.M.T.) and former Board member of the Chartered Market Technicians Association.
As Head of Learning and Development at Flux, James crafts and delivers tailored courses covering commodity markets, technical analysis, strategic trading, and risk management. James’ clients have included, Abrdn, Aramco, ArcelorMittal, Barclays, BP, Citibank, DE Shaw, Goldman Sachs, Hanwha, HSBC, Inpex, JP Morgan, Nomura, Manulife Asset Management, Petronas and UBS.
Posts authored by James
US Strikes Iran, KOSPI Breaks Support, Chinese Real Estate Collapses
US strikes Iran; Brent +6%, stocks fall, yields and USD rise, while AI and broader market fragility remain in focus.
Samsung’s Extraordinary Profit Increase, FX Positioning Gets Crowded, COMEX
Strong earnings fail to lift stocks as positioning dominates; yields rise, USD longs crowd, and credit stress builds.
AI CapEx Booms, BofA Bull/Bear Indicator Hits 9.5, Upcoming Data
AI CapEx surges toward 3% of GDP, gold reserves rise, BofA flashes sell signal, US labour weakens ahead of key data.
Impending Fed Pivot, US Investors Deviate, Global Disinflation Broadens
Fed pivot nears as inflation cools. Crowded USD longs may unwind, supporting gold while markets overprice rate hikes.
Precious Metals Decline, Worst Month for Microsoft Since 2000, S&P500 Gamma Collapse
Gold, silver and Bitcoin extend losses as AI drives market divergence, while sentiment remains stretched and volatility risks rise.
Chinese PMI Bounces, Global Supply Chain Under Pressure
China PMIs improve as yen hits 1986 low; tech sells off, margin debt hits record, and global supply chain pressures rise.
Sentiment Swings Towards Fear, Macro Risks Multiply, China Imports Gold
Crowded positioning raises reversal risk as consumer weakens, despite solid growth and tightening commodity fundamentals.
Balanced Picture in the US Economy, Single Day Wipeout in Asian Markets, AI
Soft landing holds, but AI selloff wipes $1T from Asia as chip costs rise, Apple hikes prices and firms cut AI spending.
Hedge Fund Net Shorts on Brent Up to $18Bn, Trump Announces Nuclear Loans
Fed hike odds rise, stocks slide, dollar surges. Micron leads AI rally as nuclear investment and housing show strength.
Oil Prices No longer Driving US Treasury Yields, SpaceX IPO Loses over $600B
Yields hit cycle highs as rate hike bets rise; SpaceX tumbles, ETF inflows top $1T, and semis reach record exposure.
Warsh Becomes Fed Chair as Rates Unanimously Held, Forward Guidance is Dead
Warsh's Fed turns hawkish, scraps guidance and revives uncertainty, triggering volatility across markets.